Dashboard + Scenario Lab + AI Analyst.
three surfaces in one shot. The dashboard shows the KPIs, the Scenario Lab models the what-ifs, and the AI Analyst explains the rest.
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA
The dashboard.
The cards below show business intelligence in action. Each one reads a single metric from the company’s most recent quarterly filing.
Scenario Lab.
Move the assumptions. The model recomputes. The narrative re-cites.
| FY25 actual | FY2026 base | FY2026 scenario | Δ vs base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 130.5 | 226.4 | 262.7 | +16.0% |
| Data Center | 115.2 | 207.0 | 244.2 | +18.0% |
| Gaming | 11.4 | 14.0 | 13.1 | -6.4% |
| Other segments | 3.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 0.0% |
| Gross profit | 95.7 | 168.9 | 196.0 | +16.0% |
| R&D | 12.7 | 21.5 | 25.5 | +18.5% |
| SG&A | 3.5 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 0.0% |
| Operating income | 79.5 | 142.6 | 165.7 | +16.2% |
| Operating margin | 60.9% | 63.0% | 63.1% | +7 bps |
Under the current Data Center + Gaming scenario, FY26 revenue lands at $262.7B — about +16.0% vs the consensus base case. Operating margin moves +7 bps, driven less by gross margin and more by R&D scaling absolutely while top line slows.
The directional risk vector is hyperscaler concentration: a coordinated capex moderation across the top 4 buyers — disclosed in 10-Q · risk factors as a material risk. This is a demand-pacing scenario, not an inventory or pricing shock.
What would refute it: any of the four hyperscalers reaffirming AI-infra capex above consensus in their next print, or NVDA next-quarter book-to-bill remaining above 1.0×. Both are observable in the next 10 weeks.